The election: cake and icing

This will probably be my last post on the American election. I wanted to make a couple of final points.

It looks like Trump won this election in the Rust Belt. That was the cake. Florida was the icing. He would have still won narrowly without Florida (I think) but winning there was a bonus.

It is hard for a Republican to win the presidency because California, New York and Illinois will go Democrat. Other than Texas, a Republican has to work hard to find his states.

In some ways, Hillary lost this election by giving Trump a pathway through the Rust Belt. This opportunity may not present itself next time. But on this occasion, by stupidly ignoring white middle and working class concerns; and campaigning weakly in places like Ohio and Pennsylvania and Wisconsin; Hillary lost what is natural Democrat heartland.

Cultural arrogance, fed by a complacent liberal media, led to this result.

Hillary was a diabolically bad candidate for places like Pennsylvania.




5 responses to this post.

  1. Posted by Julian O'Dea on November 14, 2016 at 11:58 pm

    For me, another bit of icing on the cake, a little ornament perhaps, was the stinging rebuke this election gave to organised American feminism. A feminist at Newsweek laments:


  2. Posted by Felix M on November 15, 2016 at 2:38 am

    Hillary put her trust in young feminist advisers who believed that a coalition of the minorities would win through. “Yes we can!”

    Bill Clinton kept urging that they spend some time and resources in the Rust Belt, but that just didn’t fit the vision.


    • Posted by Julian O'Dea on November 15, 2016 at 3:00 am

      Yes, I read that Bill wanted them to do more campaigning in the Rust Belt. If so, his instincts were good.


  3. Posted by Julian O'Dea on November 15, 2016 at 4:38 am

    Another feminist tantrum:

    View story at


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